Working Paper

Explaining the Declining Labor Supply Responsiveness of Married Women

Zhiyang Jia, Thor O. Thoresen, Trine E. Vattø
CESifo, Munich, 2024

CESifo Working Paper No. 11176

While the consensus in the literature is that the labor supply of married women is more responsive than that of married men, there are indications that this gap is narrowing. Our estimations of a structural discrete choice labor supply model using repeated cross-sectional data confirms this trend for Norway – the gross wage elasticity for married women decreased from approximately 0.7 in 1997 to under 0.3 in 2019. We further demonstrate how a simulation procedure based on the labor supply model offers insights into the factors driving this decline. We identify four categories of explanations: changes in the sociodemographic composition of the population, changes in preferences and labor market options, wage changes, and tax scheme changes. Our analysis suggests that general wage growth over the period is the primary reason for the decline in responsiveness among married women.

CESifo Category
Public Finance
Keywords: female labor supply responsiveness, discrete choice labor supply model, microsimulation
JEL Classification: C350, C510, H240, H310, J220