Working Paper

The German Productivity Paradox - Facts and Explanations

Steffen Elstner, Lars P. Feld, Christoph M. Schmidt
CESifo, Munich, 2018

CESifo Working Paper No. 7231

Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth. This paper analyzes the reasons behind this disconcerting development. A major factor is the turnaround of the labor market that commenced around 2005. The successful integration of five million predominantly low-productivity workers into the labor market induced an attenuating effect on productivity growth. This does not explain the slowdown entirely, however. As a potentially important countervailing force, technological advances associated with digitization would have had the potential to lift productivity growth more strongly, but they frequently translated into employment growth instead.

CESifo Category
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Economics of Digitization
JEL Classification: O400, E240, C320