Working Paper

Exponent of Cross-sectional Dependence for Residuals

Natalia Bailey, George Kapetanios, M. Hashem Pesaran
CESifo, Munich, 2018

CESifo Working Paper No. 7223

In this paper we focus on estimating the degree of cross-sectional dependence in the error terms of a classical panel data regression model. For this purpose we propose an estimator of the exponent of cross-sectional dependence denoted by α; which is based on the number of non-zero pair-wise cross correlations of these errors. We prove that our estimator, ᾶ; is consistent and derive the rate at which ᾶ approaches its true value. We evaluate the finite sample properties of the proposed estimator by use of a Monte Carlo simulation study. The numerical results are encouraging and supportive of the theoretical findings. Finally, we undertake an empirical investigation of α for the errors of the CAPM model and its Fama-French extensions using 10-year rolling samples from S&P 500 securities over the period Sept 1989 - May 2018.

CESifo Category
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Monetary Policy and International Finance
JEL Classification: C210, C320