Working Paper

Stock Market Integration in Asia: Global or Regional? Evidence from Industry Level Panel Convergence Tests

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Kefei You
CESifo, Munich, 2017

CESifo Working Paper No. 6494

This paper examines global and regional stock market integration in Asia at both the aggregate and disaggregate (industry) level by applying the Phillips-Sul (2007) tests for panel and club convergence. The main findings can be summarised as follows. In the pre-2008 crisis period, no integration/convergence of any kind is found. By contrast, in the post-crisis period, the Asian stock markets appear to be integrated both globally and regionally at the aggregate level; at the industry level, there is evidence of both global and regional integration in 6 out of 10 cases, the exceptions being Financials and Telecommunication, both in a turn-around phase, and Gas & Oil and Technology, for which there is no panel convergence. Club convergence tests reveal the existence of convergence clubs and divergent economies within the full panel, which explains why panel convergence is not found for the pre-crisis period and for the Gas & Oil and Technology sectors in the post-crisis period.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: Asian stock markets, global and regional integration, Phillips-Sul tests, panel and club convergence
JEL Classification: C320, C330, G110, G150