Working Paper

China's Gains from WTO Accession: Imports versus Exports

Ting-Wei Lai, Raymond Riezman, Ping Wang
CESifo, Munich, 2015

CESifo Working Paper No. 5668

We examine the gains from Chinese accession to the WTO. Using Arkolakis, Costinot, and Rodríguez-Clare (2012) we provide a new quantitative welfare measure by dividing the manufacturing sector into import and export sub-sectors. We then evaluate how the increased openness caused by China’s accession to the WTO effects the importing and exporting sectors. We find surprisingly, that the gains to the import sector are larger than the gains to the export sector. Moreover, the size and the dynamic pattern of such gains are different across sectors.

CESifo Category
Trade Policy
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomics and Growth
Keywords: gains from trade, import substitution, export promotion
JEL Classification: F100, F130