Working Paper

Persistence and Cyclical Dependence in the Monthly Euribor Rate

Guglielmo Maria Caporale, Luis A. Gil-Alana
CESifo, Munich, 2011

CESifo Working Paper No. 3653

This paper analyses two well-known features of interest rates, namely their time dependence and their cyclical structure. Specifically, it focuses on the monthly Euribor rate, using monthly data from January 1994 to May 2011. Models based on fractional integration at the long run or zero frequency, although adequately describing the persistent behaviour of the series, do not take into account its cyclical structure. Therefore, a more general cyclical fractional model is considered. Future directions for research in this context are also discussed.

CESifo Category
Monetary Policy and International Finance
Empirical and Theoretical Methods
Keywords: Euribor rate, time dependence, cyclical behaviour
JEL Classification: C220, E300