Working Paper

Panel Cointegration Tests on the Fiscal Sustainability of German Laender

Heiko T. Burret, Lars P. Feld, Ekkehard A. Köhler
CESifo, Munich, 2014

CESifo Working Paper No. 4929

This paper provides new evidence on the sustainability of public finances in German states (Laender) by exploiting a newly compiled database covering the years 1950]2011. Unlike previous studies on Germany, we analyze fiscal sustainability by applying gsecond generationh panel cointegration techniques. A unique identification strategy for the selection of sub]panels improves the robustness of panel cointegration tests and reveals that Laender finances are hardly sustainable.

CESifo Category
Public Finance
Public Choice
Keywords: fiscal sustainability, federalism, unit root, panel cointegration
JEL Classification: H620, H770, H720