Working Paper

Existence of Adaptively Stable Sunspot Equilibria Near an Indeterminate Steady State

George W. Evans, Seppo Honkapohja
CESifo, Munich, 2001

CESifo Working Paper No. 478

We examine the nonlinear model Xt = Et F(xt+1) . Markov SSEs exist near an indeterminate steady state, X = F(X), provided F´(X)> 1. We show that there exist Markov SSEs that are E-stable, and therefore locally stable under adaptive learning, if F´(X)< -1.

Keywords: Indeterminacy, learnability, expectational stability, endogenous fluctuations